Asteras Tripolis 0-2 Volos NFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
26%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
18%
5.06
X/2
9%
5.66
X/X
21%
4.04
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
12%
4.24
2/X
5%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
26%
Away Win
33%
-7.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.14/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.07
-10% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
23.3 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Volos NFC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.03 xG 1.10
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 Passes 294
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
24.09.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-2 HT 0-2 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
07.08.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis HAZ
21.12.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
19.08.2022 Volos NFC Volos NFC 3-3 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
19.03.2022 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-2 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
0-2
AWAY Volos NFC
0.27 xG 1.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 Passes 383
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Volos NFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volos NFC beat Asteras Tripolis 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Asteras Tripolis at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 46% of the ball to Volos NFC's 54%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.27 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 0.83 for Volos NFC.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Volos NFC?

Asteras Tripolis 0-2 Volos NFC in the Greece - Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Volos NFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 43%, draw 31%, Volos NFC 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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