Panaitolikos 3-0 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.84
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.18
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
15%
4.54
X/2
14%
6.39
X/X
11%
3.87
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
11%
5.15
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.0pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.19/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.56
+15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -53%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
18.2 Crosses 14.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Panserraikos
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.35 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-2 HT 1-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
02.09.2023 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
07.08.2023 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-3 HT 1-2 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos HAZ
25.10.2017 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
3-0
AWAY Panserraikos
1.72 xG 0.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
325 Passes 398
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 6
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos ran out comfortable winners over Panserraikos 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Panaitolikos as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 46% of the ball to Panserraikos's 54%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.72 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Panaitolikos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Panaitolikos and 1.25 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Panserraikos?

Panaitolikos 3-0 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panaitolikos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 44%, draw 24%, Panserraikos 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panaitolikos), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panaitolikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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