Atromitos 3-2 PAS Giannina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 16 Mar 2024

Atromitos
3-2 HT 1-0
PAS Giannina
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Atromitos vs PAS Giannina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.29
6+ Goals
11%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.24
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
14%
4.74
X/2
11%
6.22
X/X
13%
4.11
2/1
11%
29.0
2/2
16%
4.75
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atromitos v PAS Giannina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY PAS Giannina EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.26/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.13
+22% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
14.9 Crosses 13.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8

Atromitos vs PAS Giannina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
1W-5D-0L
AWAY PAS Giannina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.12
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
426 Passes 240
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 1-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
03.12.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
08.04.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 1-1 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
28.01.2023 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 1-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
10.10.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 2-1 HT 0-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
16.01.2022 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 1-1 HT 1-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN

Atromitos 3-2 PAS Giannina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
3-2
AWAY PAS Giannina
1.48 xG 2.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
394 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs PAS Giannina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos edged past PAS Giannina 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atromitos as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Atromitos had 56% of the ball to PAS Giannina's 44%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.48 to 2.36 — the balance of chances actually favoured PAS Giannina.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atromitos had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atromitos and 1.00 for PAS Giannina.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs PAS Giannina?

Atromitos 3-2 PAS Giannina in the Greece - Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs PAS Giannina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atromitos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 42%, draw 26%, PAS Giannina 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atromitos), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atromitos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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