Southport 2-3 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.1pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.4pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+6.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.03/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.24
-22% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southport
0W-1D-4L
AWAY AFC Fylde
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2023 Southport Southport 1-2 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
29.08.2022 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-0 HT 1-0 Southport Southport İCON
15.04.2022 Southport Southport 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
30.08.2021 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-1 HT 1-1 Southport Southport İCON
11.01.2020 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 4-1 HT 3-1 Southport Southport FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southport
2-3
AWAY AFC Fylde
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southport vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde nicked a narrow win over Southport 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Fylde as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Southport had 55% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 45%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Southport and 1.80 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Southport vs AFC Fylde?

Southport 2-3 AFC Fylde in the England - Conference on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Southport 35%, draw 21%, AFC Fylde 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Fylde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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