Alfreton Town 2-0 Marine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
22.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Marine EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.38/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.72
+7% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +80%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
189 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alfreton Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Marine
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Marine Marine 0-0 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
10.12.2024 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Marine Marine İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfreton Town
2-0
AWAY Marine
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Alfreton Town vs Marine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town beat Marine 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Marine at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alfreton Town had 46% of the ball to Marine's 54%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alfreton Town and 0.00 for Marine.

What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Marine?

Alfreton Town 2-0 Marine in the England - Conference on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Marine?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marine win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 27%, draw 30%, Marine 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marine) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marine) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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