Alfreton Town 1-0 Marine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.54
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 33% vs market 31.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Marine EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.57/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.75
+3% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfreton Town
1-0
AWAY Marine
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alfreton Town vs Marine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town edged past Marine 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Alfreton Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Alfreton Town had 39% of the ball to Marine's 61%, shots finished 4-3.

What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Marine?

Alfreton Town 1-0 Marine in the England - Conference on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Marine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 38%, draw 28%, Marine 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfreton Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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