Darlington 1883 2-1 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 31% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.9pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.46/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.11
+4% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hereford FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 2-0 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
12.08.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
18.03.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 3-0 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
26.11.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
19.03.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
09.10.2021 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-0 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
2-1
AWAY Hereford FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 squeezed past Hereford FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Darlington 1883 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 48% of the ball to Hereford FC's 52%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darlington 1883 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Darlington 1883 and 0.50 for Hereford FC.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Hereford FC?

Darlington 1883 2-1 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 42%, draw 26%, Hereford FC 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darlington 1883) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
10 Dec 2024
22:45 Scarborough Athletic vs Brackley Town Analysis →
22:45 Alfreton Town vs Marine Analysis →
22:45 South Shields vs Rushall Olympic Analysis →
22:45 Warrington Town vs Curzon Ashton Analysis →
22:45 Boreham Wood vs St. Albans City Analysis →
22:45 Hampton & Richmond vs Weston-super-Mare Analysis →