Scarborough Athletic 2-1 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.5
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
21.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 38% vs market 32.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+2.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.4pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.06/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.93
-20% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scarborough Athletic
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Brackley Town
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
09.09.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 2-1 HT 1-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
31.01.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
06.08.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scarborough Athletic
2-1
AWAY Brackley Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Scarborough Athletic vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scarborough Athletic edged past Brackley Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Brackley Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 59% of the ball to Brackley Town's 41%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Scarborough Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 0.75 for Brackley Town.

What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs Brackley Town?

Scarborough Athletic 2-1 Brackley Town in the England - Conference on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 30%, draw 27%, Brackley Town 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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