Warrington Town 0-1 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
26%
3.44
6+ Goals
7%
13.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+9.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-10.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 58%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-17% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
266 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrington Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-3 HT 0-2 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
16.09.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 2-3 HT 2-2 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton FAK
28.08.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-4 HT 0-2 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warrington Town
0-1
AWAY Curzon Ashton
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Warrington Town vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton squeezed past Warrington Town 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Curzon Ashton as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Warrington Town had 50% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 50%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Warrington Town and 2.33 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Warrington Town vs Curzon Ashton?

Warrington Town 0-1 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrington Town vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Warrington Town 31%, draw 25%, Curzon Ashton 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curzon Ashton), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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