Curzon Ashton 0-3 Warrington Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.19
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.40/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.21
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
240 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Warrington Town
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 2-3 HT 2-2 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton FAK
28.08.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-4 HT 0-2 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
0-3
AWAY Warrington Town
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Warrington Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrington Town ran out comfortable winners over Curzon Ashton 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Warrington Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 55% of the ball to Warrington Town's 45%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Curzon Ashton and 1.50 for Warrington Town.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Warrington Town?

Curzon Ashton 0-3 Warrington Town in the England - Conference on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Warrington Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 38%, draw 28%, Warrington Town 34%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✗ BTTS Yes
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