Weymouth 1-4 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.3pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weymouth EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.48/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.24
+14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weymouth
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Worthing
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-0 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
13.12.2022 Worthing Worthing 1-3 HT 1-1 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
19.11.2022 Worthing Worthing 4-2 HT 2-1 Weymouth Weymouth FAK
16.08.2022 Weymouth Weymouth 0-3 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
POST-MATCH Weymouth vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing ran out comfortable winners over Weymouth 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Worthing led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Weymouth and 2.50 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Weymouth vs Worthing?

Weymouth 1-4 Worthing in the England - Conference on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weymouth vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Weymouth 31%, draw 23%, Worthing 46%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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