Brackley Town 3-1 Peterborough Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.28/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.28
-31% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Peterborough Sports
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.08.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-3 HT 0-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
04.02.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 2-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
01.11.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
3-1
AWAY Peterborough Sports
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Peterborough Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town saw off Peterborough Sports 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brackley Town had 52% of the ball to Peterborough Sports's 48%, shots finished 17-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Brackley Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brackley Town and 0.67 for Peterborough Sports.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Peterborough Sports?

Brackley Town 3-1 Peterborough Sports in the England - Conference on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Peterborough Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 48%, draw 27%, Peterborough Sports 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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