Dover Athletic 1-2 Dartford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Feb 2024

Dover Athletic
1-2 HT 0-1
Dartford
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Dover Athletic vs Dartford Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 26% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dover Athletic v Dartford — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Dartford EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -16%
1.12/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.33
-14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Dover Athletic vs Dartford Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dover Athletic
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Dartford
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.08.2023 Dartford Dartford 2-0 HT 1-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
10.04.2023 Dartford Dartford 2-1 HT 1-1 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
13.09.2022 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-3 HT 1-3 Dartford Dartford İCON
17.01.2015 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 6-1 HT 2-1 Dartford Dartford İBSL
16.09.2014 Dartford Dartford 2-1 HT 0-1 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İBSL
POST-MATCH Dover Athletic vs Dartford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dartford edged past Dover Athletic 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Dartford found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dartford led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Dover Athletic and 2.00 for Dartford.

What was the final score of Dover Athletic vs Dartford?

Dover Athletic 1-2 Dartford in the England - Conference on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dover Athletic vs Dartford?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dartford win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dover Athletic 35%, draw 25%, Dartford 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dartford) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dartford) ✗ BTTS No
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