Chorley 3-0 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.0pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.4pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chorley EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
2.19/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.10
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chorley
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Southport
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2023 Southport Southport 0-2 HT 0-1 Chorley Chorley İCON
04.02.2023 Chorley Chorley 1-2 HT 1-0 Southport Southport İCON
05.11.2022 Southport Southport 2-1 HT 0-1 Chorley Chorley İCON
12.03.2022 Chorley Chorley 2-1 HT 0-1 Southport Southport İCON
02.11.2021 Southport Southport 0-0 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
21.09.2021 Southport Southport 1-0 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chorley
3-0
AWAY Southport
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chorley vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley swept aside Southport 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Chorley had 62% of the ball to Southport's 38%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southport led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chorley and 1.00 for Southport.

What was the final score of Chorley vs Southport?

Chorley 3-0 Southport in the England - Conference on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chorley vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chorley 50%, draw 28%, Southport 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chorley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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