Darlington 1883 2-0 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.61
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.14
6+ Goals
7%
20.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 33% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.15/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.12
-15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
151 · 58% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hereford FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
18.03.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 3-0 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
26.11.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
19.03.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
09.10.2021 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-0 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
22.02.2020 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
2-0
AWAY Hereford FC
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 got the better of Hereford FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Darlington 1883 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 51% of the ball to Hereford FC's 49%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darlington 1883 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Darlington 1883 and 0.83 for Hereford FC.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Hereford FC?

Darlington 1883 2-0 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 41%, draw 29%, Hereford FC 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darlington 1883), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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