Salisbury 3-3 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 43%
-16% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.84/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.13
-36% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
0W-2D-0L
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
01.02.2025 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 1-1 HT 0-1 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
12.10.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 2-2 HT 1-1 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury and AFC Hornchurch couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Hornchurch at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Salisbury and 1.50 for AFC Hornchurch.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs AFC Hornchurch?

Salisbury 3-3 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 28%, draw 29%, AFC Hornchurch 42%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Hornchurch), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
25 Aug 2025
00:00 Alfreton Town vs Marine Analysis →
00:00 Chesham United vs Hampton & Richmond Analysis →
17:00 Enfield Town vs AFC Totton Analysis →
17:00 Ebbsfleet United vs Bath City Analysis →
17:00 Dorking Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels Analysis →
17:00 Eastbourne Borough vs Slough Town Analysis →