AFC Hornchurch 1-1 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Feb 2025

AFC Hornchurch
1-1 HT 0-1
Salisbury
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.72
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Hornchurch v Salisbury — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.64/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.36
-54% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4

AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Hornchurch
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Salisbury
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
12.10.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 2-2 HT 1-1 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch and Salisbury shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Hornchurch at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury?

AFC Hornchurch 1-1 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 43%, draw 28%, Salisbury 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Hornchurch), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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