Weymouth 5-1 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weymouth EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.22/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.70
-8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weymouth
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Welling United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.01.2025 Welling United Welling United 2-1 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
04.11.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 1-1 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
18.03.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 2-1 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
26.11.2022 Welling United Welling United 1-2 HT 1-1 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
01.10.2022 Weymouth Weymouth 3-0 HT 2-0 Welling United Welling United FAK
04.01.2020 Welling United Welling United 1-3 HT 0-1 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
POST-MATCH Weymouth vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weymouth cruised past Welling United 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Weymouth found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weymouth had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Weymouth and 1.00 for Welling United.

What was the final score of Weymouth vs Welling United?

Weymouth 5-1 Welling United in the England - Conference on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weymouth vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Welling United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Weymouth 32%, draw 32%, Welling United 36%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Welling United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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