Chippenham Town 2-1 Aveley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aveley EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.44/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.66
-4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Aveley
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2024 Aveley Aveley 0-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
20.01.2024 Aveley Aveley 2-2 HT 1-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
05.08.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
2-1
AWAY Aveley
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Aveley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town edged past Aveley 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chippenham Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 57% of the ball to Aveley's 43%, shots finished 10-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chippenham Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chippenham Town and 0.67 for Aveley.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Aveley?

Chippenham Town 2-1 Aveley in the England - Conference on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Aveley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chippenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 42%, draw 28%, Aveley 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chippenham Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chippenham Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
1 Feb 2025
18:00 Peterborough Sports vs Chester Analysis →
18:00 Maidstone United vs Torquay United Analysis →
18:00 Enfield Town vs Farnborough Analysis →
18:00 Weymouth vs Welling United Analysis →
18:00 Chelmsford City vs Chesham United Analysis →
18:00 Eastbourne Borough vs Tonbridge Angels Analysis →