Peterborough Sports 0-1 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Feb 2025

Peterborough Sports
0-1 HT 0-1
Chester
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Peterborough Sports vs Chester Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.68
Over 2.5
54%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.88
No
42%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.98
6+ Goals
10%
19.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.98 — our 28% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
56%
-10.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
44%
+10.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.0pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough Sports v Chester — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 49%
-15% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
0.86/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.97
-31% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Peterborough Sports vs Chester Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Chester
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Chester Chester 3-0 HT 2-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
06.02.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-1 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
07.10.2023 Chester Chester 3-2 HT 1-2 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
14.03.2023 Chester Chester 0-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
20.08.2022 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 3-2 HT 1-1 Chester Chester İCON

Peterborough Sports 0-1 Chester — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
0-1
AWAY Chester
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester nicked a narrow win over Peterborough Sports 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 55% of the ball to Chester's 45%, shots finished 12-17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Peterborough Sports and 1.80 for Chester.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Chester?

Peterborough Sports 0-1 Chester in the England - Conference on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 26%, draw 27%, Chester 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chester) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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