Bury Town 1-0 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bury Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 37%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.15
-34% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
POST-MATCH Bury Town vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bury Town squeezed past AFC Sudbury 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Bury Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Bury Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Bury Town 1-0 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bury Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bury Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bury Town 38%, draw 24%, AFC Sudbury 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bury Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bury Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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