Needham Market 1-2 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +20%
1.77/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.58
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Needham Market
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Leiston
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.02.2024 Needham Market Needham Market 5-0 HT 3-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
28.08.2023 Leiston Leiston 0-0 HT 0-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
10.04.2023 Needham Market Needham Market 0-1 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
26.12.2022 Leiston Leiston 2-1 HT 1-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
01.02.2022 Needham Market Needham Market 3-0 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
02.11.2021 Leiston Leiston 1-0 HT 0-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
1-2
AWAY Leiston
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston squeezed past Needham Market 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Needham Market at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Needham Market had 57% of the ball to Leiston's 43%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiston led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Needham Market and 0.67 for Leiston.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Leiston?

Needham Market 1-2 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Needham Market win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 50%, draw 23%, Leiston 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Needham Market) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Needham Market) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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