Jalapa 4-2 Real Madriz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.68
No
58%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.1pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.6pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.9pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madriz EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.92/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.43
-49% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Real Madriz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2022 Jalapa Jalapa 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
01.11.2021 Jalapa Jalapa 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
12.09.2021 Real Madriz Real Madriz 1-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
28.02.2021 Jalapa Jalapa 4-1 HT 1-1 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
20.11.2020 Jalapa Jalapa 2-1 HT 0-1 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
21.09.2020 Real Madriz Real Madriz 3-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Real Madriz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa beat Real Madriz 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jalapa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madriz led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jalapa and 1.33 for Real Madriz.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Real Madriz?

Jalapa 4-2 Real Madriz in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Real Madriz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 48%, draw 19%, Real Madriz 33%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jalapa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jalapa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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