Matagalpa 1-2 Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Managua EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -24%
1.58/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.48
+16% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
306 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Managua
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.04.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 3-1 HT 3-1 Managua Managua NİK
17.02.2025 Managua Managua 1-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
02.12.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-5 HT 1-3 Managua Managua NİK
17.11.2024 Managua Managua 2-3 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
19.09.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-1 HT 2-0 Managua Managua NİK
30.05.2024 Managua Managua 0-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Managua edged past Matagalpa 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Managua made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matagalpa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Matagalpa and 1.67 for Managua.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Managua?

Matagalpa 1-2 Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 38%, draw 24%, Managua 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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