Managua 2-3 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
2.29/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.78
+29% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Matagalpa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.09.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-1 HT 2-0 Managua Managua NİK
30.05.2024 Managua Managua 0-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
25.04.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-2 HT 0-1 Managua Managua NİK
11.03.2024 Managua Managua 3-2 HT 2-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
13.11.2023 Managua Managua 3-2 HT 0-2 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
15.09.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-1 HT 1-1 Managua Managua NİK
POST-MATCH Managua vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa squeezed past Managua 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Managua at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Managua had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Managua and 1.17 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Managua vs Matagalpa?

Managua 2-3 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Managua 41%, draw 27%, Matagalpa 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Managua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Managua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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