Matagalpa 2-1 Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 19 Sep 2024

Matagalpa
2-1 HT 2-0
Managua
📅19/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2025/2026

Matagalpa vs Managua Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
16.01
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
60%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
4%
+15.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.9pp
60%
Away Win
78%
-17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Matagalpa v Managua — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Managua EU Bookmakers 81%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.67/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.86
-27% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
213 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 492 · 87%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Matagalpa vs Managua Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Managua
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.05.2024 Managua Managua 0-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
25.04.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-2 HT 0-1 Managua Managua NİK
11.03.2024 Managua Managua 3-2 HT 2-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
13.11.2023 Managua Managua 3-2 HT 0-2 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
15.09.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-1 HT 1-1 Managua Managua NİK
20.04.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-0 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa edged past Managua 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

This one beat our numbers. Managua carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Managua led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Matagalpa and 1.50 for Managua.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Managua?

Matagalpa 2-1 Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 20%, draw 20%, Managua 60%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Managua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Managua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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