Jalapa 2-2 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+8.1pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
53%
Away Win
62%
-8.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 66%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
0.65/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.98
-35% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -7%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Diriangen
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
05.05.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 0-2 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
29.04.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 1-0 HT 1-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
14.03.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 2-1 HT 0-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
26.11.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
21.09.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 0-3 HT 0-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa and Diriangen couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Diriangen at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Jalapa and 1.50 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Diriangen?

Jalapa 2-2 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 24%, draw 22%, Diriangen 53%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Diriangen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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