Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund BK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarpsborg 08 v Kristiansund BK — Team-Based Signals
Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund BK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Kristiansund BK
NOR
2-3
HT 0-3
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
1-3
HT 0-1
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
Sarpsborg 08 0-1 Kristiansund BK — Actual Match Statistics
Kristiansund BK nicked a narrow win over Sarpsborg 08 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Sarpsborg 08 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 56% of the ball to Kristiansund BK's 44%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.83 to 1.13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.67 for Kristiansund BK.
What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund BK?
Sarpsborg 08 0-1 Kristiansund BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund BK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 54%, draw 21%, Kristiansund BK 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.