Universidad Chile 2-1 Huachipato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-13.3pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+11.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Huachipato EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -23%
1.37/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.77
-22% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
29.1 Crosses 16.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Huachipato
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.82 xG 2.07
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
234 Passes 284
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Huachipato Huachipato 0-4 HT 0-2 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
08.07.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 1-2 HT 0-2 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
24.01.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-3 HT 1-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
30.10.2022 Huachipato Huachipato 4-0 HT 3-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
22.05.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 3-2 HT 1-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
29.08.2021 Huachipato Huachipato 1-1 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
2-1
AWAY Huachipato
3.00 xG 0.20
73% Ball Possession 27%
21 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
515 Passes 136
90% Pass Accuracy 63%
31 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs Huachipato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile squeezed past Huachipato 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Universidad Chile as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 73% of the ball to Huachipato's 27%, shots finished 21-3, expected goals 3.00 to 0.20 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Universidad Chile's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Universidad Chile and 1.83 for Huachipato.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs Huachipato?

Universidad Chile 2-1 Huachipato in the Chile - Premier League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs Huachipato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 57%, draw 21%, Huachipato 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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