Cobresal 0-1 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobresal EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.60/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.22
+33% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.6 Crosses 14.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobresal
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.01 xG 1.32
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
365 Passes 297
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.04.2024 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 0-1 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
12.11.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 3-4 HT 1-2 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
30.04.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-0 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
08.09.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-2 HT 0-2 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
10.04.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 0-1 HT 0-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
04.10.2021 Cobresal Cobresal 1-2 HT 1-2 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobresal
0-1
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.23 xG 1.37
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
440 Passes 319
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cobresal vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano edged past Cobresal 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cobresal at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cobresal had 58% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 42%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.23 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Audax Italiano led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cobresal and 1.67 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of Cobresal vs Audax Italiano?

Cobresal 0-1 Audax Italiano in the Chile - Premier League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobresal vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobresal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cobresal 41%, draw 25%, Audax Italiano 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cobresal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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