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25/09/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
SL Benfica (K) vs Hammarby (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
34%
4-5
26%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Over 2.5
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
57%
27%
Draw
22%
33%
Away Win
21%
45%
Under 2.5
41%
55%
Over 2.5
59%
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
46%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SL Benfica (K) v Hammarby (K) — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
SL Benfica (K)
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hammarby (K)
EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
388 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
280 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
SL Benfica (K) vs Hammarby (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
SL Benfica (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Hammarby (K)
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
50%
Ball Possession
50%
7
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
6
1
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
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SL Benfica (K) 0-2 Hammarby (K) — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
SL Benfica (K)
0-2
AWAY
Hammarby (K)
3
Corners
1
1
Yellow Cards
3
POST-MATCH
SL Benfica (K) vs Hammarby (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hammarby (K) beat SL Benfica (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Hammarby (K) made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of SL Benfica (K) vs Hammarby (K)?
SL Benfica (K) 0-2 Hammarby (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SL Benfica (K) vs Hammarby (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a SL Benfica (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split SL Benfica (K) 40%, draw 27%, Hammarby (K) 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (SL Benfica (K))
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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More Champions League - Women's
25 Sep 2024