Naftan Novopolotsk 0-0 Neman Grodno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
9.57
Draw
23%
4.95
Away Pick
58%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.97
Over
55%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.4
No
51%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.58
2-3
36%
1.8
4-5
26%
3.35
6+
13%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.58 — our 25% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk The Market 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Neman Grodno The Market 78%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.78/2.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.49
-2% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +56%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Neman Grodno
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-1 HT 1-1 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
02.12.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 6-1 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
07.07.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-3 HT 0-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
18.10.2015 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 1-2 HT 1-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
17.06.2015 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 3-1 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
21.06.2014 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
0-0
AWAY Neman Grodno
32% Ball Possession 68%
2 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Naftan Novopolotsk vs Neman Grodno
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Naftan Novopolotsk and Neman Grodno cancelled each other out in a 0-0. Neither side could find a way through.

File this under upsets: a 58% lean on Neman Grodno went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. Small consolation: at 1.28 (roughly 78%) the price was further off than we were. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Naftan Novopolotsk had 32% of the ball to Neman Grodno's 68%, shots finished 2-15.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Naftan Novopolotsk and 2.67 for Neman Grodno.

Naftan Novopolotsk vs Neman Grodno Result & Final Score

Naftan Novopolotsk 0-0 Neman Grodno in the Belarus - Premier League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Naftan Novopolotsk vs Neman Grodno Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Naftan Novopolotsk 19%, draw 23%, Neman Grodno 58%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Neman Grodno), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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