Neman Grodno 2-1 Naftan Novopolotsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.44
No
49%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.98
4-5 Goals
30%
2.68
6+ Goals
15%
6.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
81%
-14.7pp
22%
Draw
13%
+9.3pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
37%
+14.6pp
49%
BTTS No
63%
-14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
2.41/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/3.27
-2% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -31%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neman Grodno
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 6-1 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
07.07.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-3 HT 0-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
18.10.2015 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 1-2 HT 1-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
17.06.2015 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 3-1 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
21.06.2014 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neman Grodno
2-1
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neman Grodno vs Naftan Novopolotsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno edged past Naftan Novopolotsk 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Neman Grodno had 66% of the ball to Naftan Novopolotsk's 34%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Neman Grodno and 1.00 for Naftan Novopolotsk.

What was the final score of Neman Grodno vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Neman Grodno 2-1 Naftan Novopolotsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neman Grodno vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Neman Grodno 66%, draw 22%, Naftan Novopolotsk 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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