Dinamo Minsk 5-0 Smorgon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.18
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.27
No
49%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.98
4-5 Goals
29%
2.69
6+ Goals
13%
6.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
80%
-18.8pp
22%
Draw
14%
+7.8pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+11.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.6pp
49%
BTTS No
60%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Smorgon EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
2.64/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/2.76
+10% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -18%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
459 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 180 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Smorgon
3.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 7-0 HT 4-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
25.06.2023 Smorgon Smorgon 3-1 HT 2-1 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
26.09.2021 Smorgon Smorgon 0-5 HT 0-3 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
14.05.2021 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk
5-0
AWAY Smorgon
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk vs Smorgon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk ran out comfortable winners over Smorgon 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Minsk as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Minsk had 58% of the ball to Smorgon's 42%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dinamo Minsk had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.75 goals for Dinamo Minsk and 0.75 for Smorgon.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk vs Smorgon?

Dinamo Minsk 5-0 Smorgon in the Belarus - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk vs Smorgon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk 61%, draw 22%, Smorgon 17%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Minsk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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