Oriente Petrolero 5-0 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.5pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
0.97/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.20
+0% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 70%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
20.0 Crosses 15.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oriente Petrolero
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aurora
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.92 xG 1.02
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
261 Passes 262
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2024 Aurora Aurora 3-1 HT 3-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
13.11.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
15.05.2023 Aurora Aurora 2-2 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
21.04.2022 Aurora Aurora 1-1 HT 0-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
12.02.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
21.11.2021 Aurora Aurora 1-2 HT 0-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oriente Petrolero
5-0
AWAY Aurora
2.19 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
238 Passes 231
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oriente Petrolero cruised past Aurora 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Oriente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Oriente Petrolero had 49% of the ball to Aurora's 51%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.19 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oriente Petrolero had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Oriente Petrolero and 1.17 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?

Oriente Petrolero 5-0 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oriente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Oriente Petrolero 46%, draw 24%, Aurora 30%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oriente Petrolero), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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