Ittihad Tanger 3-1 Raja Casablanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.71
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 32% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.5pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.9pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-12.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ittihad Tanger EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Raja Casablanca EU Bookmakers 69%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
0.42/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.65
-44% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +35%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
148 · 59% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ittihad Tanger
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Raja Casablanca
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2024 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 1-2 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
28.12.2023 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 6-1 HT 3-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
21.05.2023 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 0-0 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
06.01.2023 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 3-0 HT 2-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
01.03.2022 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 1-0 HT 0-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
28.09.2021 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 0-1 HT 0-1 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ittihad Tanger
3-1
AWAY Raja Casablanca
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ittihad Tanger got the better of Raja Casablanca 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Raja Casablanca at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ittihad Tanger had 30% of the ball to Raja Casablanca's 70%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raja Casablanca led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ittihad Tanger and 2.17 for Raja Casablanca.

What was the final score of Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca?

Ittihad Tanger 3-1 Raja Casablanca in the Morocco - League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ittihad Tanger 20%, draw 29%, Raja Casablanca 51%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Raja Casablanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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