Ittihad Tanger 1-2 Raja Casablanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 33% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+3.5pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.7pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-10.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ittihad Tanger EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Raja Casablanca EU Bookmakers 62%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -25%
0.39/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.62
-48% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +28%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
183 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ittihad Tanger
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Raja Casablanca
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.12.2023 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 6-1 HT 3-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
21.05.2023 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 0-0 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
06.01.2023 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 3-0 HT 2-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
01.03.2022 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 1-0 HT 0-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
28.09.2021 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 0-1 HT 0-1 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
16.06.2021 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 0-3 HT 0-2 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ittihad Tanger
1-2
AWAY Raja Casablanca
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Casablanca squeezed past Ittihad Tanger 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Raja Casablanca as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ittihad Tanger had 42% of the ball to Raja Casablanca's 58%, shots finished 17-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raja Casablanca led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Ittihad Tanger and 2.33 for Raja Casablanca.

What was the final score of Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca?

Ittihad Tanger 1-2 Raja Casablanca in the Morocco - League on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ittihad Tanger 21%, draw 31%, Raja Casablanca 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Casablanca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Raja Casablanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAS More Morocco - League
28 May 2024
21:00 Mouloudia Oujda vs CR Khemis Zemamra Analysis →
21:00 Youssoufia Berrechid vs FUS Rabat Analysis →
21:00 Wydad Casablanca vs Olympic Safi Analysis →
21:00 RSB Berkane vs Chabab Mohammedia Analysis →
21:00 FAR Rabat vs JS Soualem Analysis →