Mouloudia Oujda 1-2 CR Khemis Zemamra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 32% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mouloudia Oujda EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY CR Khemis Zemamra EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.31/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.32
-2% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mouloudia Oujda
3W-0D-2L
AWAY CR Khemis Zemamra
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2023 CR Khemis Zemamra CR Khemis Zemamra 0-1 HT 0-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
23.05.2021 CR Khemis Zemamra CR Khemis Zemamra 3-4 HT 2-1 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
20.12.2020 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 1-2 HT 1-1 CR Khemis Zemamra CR Khemis Zemamra FAS
27.09.2020 CR Khemis Zemamra CR Khemis Zemamra 1-0 HT 1-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
30.12.2019 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 2-1 HT 0-1 CR Khemis Zemamra CR Khemis Zemamra FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mouloudia Oujda
1-2
AWAY CR Khemis Zemamra
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mouloudia Oujda vs CR Khemis Zemamra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CR Khemis Zemamra squeezed past Mouloudia Oujda 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Mouloudia Oujda at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mouloudia Oujda had 66% of the ball to CR Khemis Zemamra's 34%, shots finished 21-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mouloudia Oujda had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Mouloudia Oujda and 1.40 for CR Khemis Zemamra.

What was the final score of Mouloudia Oujda vs CR Khemis Zemamra?

Mouloudia Oujda 1-2 CR Khemis Zemamra in the Morocco - League on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mouloudia Oujda vs CR Khemis Zemamra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mouloudia Oujda win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mouloudia Oujda 41%, draw 27%, CR Khemis Zemamra 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mouloudia Oujda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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