Yokohama F. Marinos 5-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.77
2-3 Goals
40%
2.04
4-5 Goals
25%
2.61
6+ Goals
12%
6.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.1
X/1
12%
3.71
X/2
10%
15.55
X/X
8%
7.93
2/1
5%
19.7
2/2
8%
10.9
2/X
9%
19.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-13.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.1pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 17%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.91/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.74
-17% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
452 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
5-1
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos swept aside Renofa Yamaguchi 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yokohama F. Marinos as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 56% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 44%, shots finished 15-16.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Yokohama F. Marinos 5-1 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 54%, draw 22%, Renofa Yamaguchi 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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