Kashima Antlers 0-3 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.69
6+ Goals
11%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.42
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
13%
4.84
X/2
10%
6.04
X/X
14%
3.86
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
18%
4.68
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 34%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.90/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.34
+10% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.78 xG 1.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
321 Passes 303
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-1 HT 2-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
19.05.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
21.10.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-1 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
15.04.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-5 HT 0-2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
07.09.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JPK
16.07.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
0-3
AWAY Vissel Kobe
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe ran out comfortable winners over Kashima Antlers 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kashima Antlers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 51% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 49%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kashima Antlers and 2.00 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Vissel Kobe?

Kashima Antlers 0-3 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 41%, draw 26%, Vissel Kobe 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kashima Antlers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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