Vissel Kobe 3-1 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.34
6+ Goals
11%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.71
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
15%
4.24
X/2
10%
7.53
X/X
11%
4.14
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
14%
6.07
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.6
Value flag · 2/X at 14.6 — our 11% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
1.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.23
-8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
427 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.5 Crosses 19.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.43 xG 0.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
336 Passes 294
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
21.10.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-1 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
15.04.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-5 HT 0-2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
07.09.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JPK
16.07.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
11.03.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-2 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
3-1
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.91 xG 1.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
358 Passes 311
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe got the better of Kashima Antlers 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 53% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 47%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.91 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vissel Kobe and 1.17 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Kashima Antlers?

Vissel Kobe 3-1 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 41%, draw 30%, Kashima Antlers 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
30 Jun 2024
12:00 Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus Analysis →
12:00 Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia Analysis →
12:30 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Jubilo Iwata Analysis →
12:30 FC Tokyo vs Avispa Fukuoka Analysis →
13:00 Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga Analysis →
13:00 Sagan Tosu vs Kashiwa Reysol Analysis →