FC Tokyo 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.21
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.81
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
15%
5.11
X/2
6%
5.63
X/X
14%
3.6
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.37
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.7pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +30%
1.26/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.89
+1% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
16.5 Crosses 20.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.74 xG 1.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
427 Passes 226
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
10.09.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JLK
06.09.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-0 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
03.09.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 0-2 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
03.05.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
02.07.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-2 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
0-1
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
0.74 xG 0.74
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
416 Passes 227
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka edged past FC Tokyo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Tokyo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 62% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 38%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.74 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.33 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Avispa Fukuoka?

FC Tokyo 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 42%, draw 30%, Avispa Fukuoka 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Tokyo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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