Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 30 Jun 2024

Shonan Bellmare
0-1 HT 0-1
Kyoto Sanga
📅30/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.56
6+ Goals
8%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 30% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
11%
4.54
X/2
11%
7.31
X/X
13%
4.6
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
13%
5.37
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shonan Bellmare v Kyoto Sanga — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 30%
-15% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.40/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.46
-19% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 73%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.1 Crosses 17.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.66 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
249 Passes 247
69% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-2 HT 1-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
21.10.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
12.03.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-2 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
26.06.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
12.03.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
23.09.2014 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-2 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP2

Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Kyoto Sanga — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
0-1
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.66 xG 1.76
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
323 Passes 118
73% Pass Accuracy 51%
25 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga squeezed past Shonan Bellmare 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Shonan Bellmare at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 66% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 34%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.66 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 1.00 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga?

Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 41%, draw 29%, Kyoto Sanga 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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