Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 30 Jun 2024

Urawa Red Diamonds
3-0 HT 1-0
Jubilo Iwata
📅30/06/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Jubilo Iwata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.17
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 32% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.37
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
23%
4.08
X/2
11%
8.66
X/X
8%
4.72
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
8%
6.79
2/X
9%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Urawa Red Diamonds v Jubilo Iwata — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.76/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.45
+19% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
444 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
17.1 Crosses 20.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Jubilo Iwata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.08 xG 1.02
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
503 Passes 348
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
13.08.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-6 HT 0-3 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
19.03.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 4-1 HT 3-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
20.07.2019 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-3 HT 0-3 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
03.05.2019 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
15.08.2018 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 4-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP

Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 Jubilo Iwata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
3-0
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
1.73 xG 0.40
72% Ball Possession 28%
24 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
615 Passes 194
90% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds ran out comfortable winners over Jubilo Iwata 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Urawa Red Diamonds as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 72% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 28%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.73 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 0.67 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Jubilo Iwata?

Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J1 League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 48%, draw 26%, Jubilo Iwata 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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