Sagan Tosu vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sagan Tosu v Kashiwa Reysol — Team-Based Signals
Sagan Tosu vs Kashiwa Reysol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Sagan Tosu
JAP
1-1
HT 0-0
Kashiwa Reysol
JAP
0-1
HT 0-1
Kashiwa Reysol
JAP
1-4
HT 0-2
Sagan Tosu
JAP
1-3
HT 0-2
Kashiwa Reysol
JLK
Sagan Tosu 1-4 Kashiwa Reysol — Actual Match Statistics
Kashiwa Reysol ran out comfortable winners over Sagan Tosu 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Sagan Tosu had 59% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 41%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.34 to 2.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sagan Tosu and 1.50 for Kashiwa Reysol.
What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Sagan Tosu 1-4 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 29%, draw 24%, Kashiwa Reysol 48%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.