Sogndal 2-3 Bryne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bryne EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.32/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.76
-10% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +80%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bryne
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Bryne Bryne 1-0 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
05.11.2023 Bryne Bryne 2-1 HT 2-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
29.04.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 2-2 HT 2-0 Bryne Bryne NOR1
11.09.2022 Bryne Bryne 3-3 HT 1-3 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
19.04.2022 Sogndal Sogndal 2-1 HT 1-0 Bryne Bryne NOR1
25.09.2021 Sogndal Sogndal 0-0 HT 0-0 Bryne Bryne NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sogndal
2-3
AWAY Bryne
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs Bryne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bryne edged past Sogndal 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Bryne found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sogndal had 46% of the ball to Bryne's 54%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bryne led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sogndal and 1.50 for Bryne.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs Bryne?

Sogndal 2-3 Bryne in the Norway - 1st Division on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Bryne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bryne win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 34%, draw 28%, Bryne 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bryne), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bryne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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