Egersunds 2-1 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.17
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.32
No
36%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
8.15
2-3 Goals
39%
2.32
4-5 Goals
33%
2.38
6+ Goals
13%
4.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.8pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.2pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Egersunds EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.47/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/2.49
-11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Egersunds
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stabaek
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
27.05.2024 Stabaek Stabaek 4-5 HT 3-0 Egersunds Egersunds NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Egersunds
2-1
AWAY Stabaek
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Egersunds vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Egersunds nicked a narrow win over Stabaek 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Egersunds made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Egersunds had 45% of the ball to Stabaek's 55%, shots finished 7-19.

What was the final score of Egersunds vs Stabaek?

Egersunds 2-1 Stabaek in the Norway - 1st Division on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Egersunds vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Egersunds win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Egersunds 40%, draw 26%, Stabaek 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Egersunds), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Egersunds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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