Ethnikos P. 0-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
29%
4.49
Away
48%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.29
Over 2.5
43%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+8.8pp
29%
Draw
19%
+9.8pp
48%
Away Win
67%
-18.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
40%
+16.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
60%
-16.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.5pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethnikos P. EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -60%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethnikos P.
0-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ethnikos P. vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki nicked a narrow win over Ethnikos P. 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Ethnikos P. had 35% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 65%, shots finished 10-17.

What was the final score of Ethnikos P. vs Aris Saloniki?

Ethnikos P. 0-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethnikos P. vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ethnikos P. 23%, draw 29%, Aris Saloniki 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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