OFI 2-1 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.28
6+ Goals
12%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-10.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 26%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.02/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.43
-1% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
419 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 0.95
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
417 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 OFI OFI 1-2 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
31.01.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-1 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUK
23.01.2024 OFI OFI 1-2 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUK
20.01.2024 OFI OFI 1-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
27.09.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-1 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN
09.01.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-4 HT 0-1 OFI OFI YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
2-1
AWAY Panaitolikos
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH OFI vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI squeezed past Panaitolikos 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had OFI as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OFI had 54% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 46%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panaitolikos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for OFI and 1.33 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of OFI vs Panaitolikos?

OFI 2-1 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split OFI 41%, draw 27%, Panaitolikos 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OFI) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OFI) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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