Naft 3-0 Al Talaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Talaba EU Bookmakers 39%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.00/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.02
-100% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Talaba
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
21.04.2025 Naft Naft 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Talaba Al Talaba IRAK
POST-MATCH Naft vs Al Talaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft ran out comfortable winners over Al Talaba 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Naft made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Naft vs Al Talaba?

Naft 3-0 Al Talaba in the Iraq - Premier League on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft vs Al Talaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Naft 39%, draw 28%, Al Talaba 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naft) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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