25/09/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Naft vs Al Talaba Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
28%
Draw
30%
34%
Away Win
35%
58%
Under 2.5
62%
42%
Over 2.5
38%
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
53%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naft v Al Talaba — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Naft
EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Talaba
EU Bookmakers 39%
-34% /
-34%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-20% /
-20%
0.00/1.65
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.51/1.02
-100%
/
-36%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-54%
/
+13%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
6
311 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
273 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Naft vs Al Talaba Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Naft
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Al Talaba
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Naft vs Al Talaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Naft ran out comfortable winners over Al Talaba 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Naft made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Naft vs Al Talaba?
Naft 3-0 Al Talaba in the Iraq - Premier League on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naft vs Al Talaba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Naft 39%, draw 28%, Al Talaba 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Naft)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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25 Sep 2025